Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPhoenix Rising to win ✗45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.82
Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising preview and prediction
The match
The USL Championship sees Monterey Bay take on Phoenix Rising on Sunday 6 September, kicking off at 03:00 (WAT) at Cardinale Stadium. Monterey Bay are 12th with 24 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Phoenix Rising sit 8th on 40 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Monterey Bay's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Sacramento Republic 1–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Phoenix Rising's last 5: WDWLD Most recently they beat Indy Eleven 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Phoenix Rising arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 July 2026, finished Phoenix Rising 3–2 Monterey Bay.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Monterey Bay and 1.5 for Phoenix Rising. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Monterey Bay 34%, draw 20%, Phoenix Rising 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Monterey Bay 1–1 Phoenix Rising. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Monterey Bay34%fair 2.91 · @2.80
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.40
Phoenix Rising45%fair 2.21 · @2.10
2.80Expected goals
1.28Monterey Bay xG
1.52Phoenix Rising xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Monterey Bay 1.3 – 1.5 Phoenix Rising expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising?
On our numbers Monterey Bay have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Phoenix Rising 45%.
How many goals will there be in Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising?
Our predicted score is Monterey Bay 1–1 Phoenix Rising, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising?
Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Cardinale Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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