Detroit City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies preview and prediction
The match
Detroit City host Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship on Sunday 23 August, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Keyworth Stadium. Detroit City are 3rd with 51 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Tampa Bay Rowdies sit 1st on 61 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Detroit City's last 5: DWDLW Most recently they drew with Loudoun United 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tampa Bay Rowdies's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Rhode Island 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tampa Bay Rowdies arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Detroit City and 1.3 for Tampa Bay Rowdies. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Detroit City 36%, draw 26%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Detroit City 1–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Detroit City36%fair 2.82 · @2.95
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.90
Tampa Bay Rowdies39%fair 2.58 · @2.40
2.51Expected goals
1.22Detroit City xG
1.29Tampa Bay Rowdies xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Detroit City 1.2 – 1.3 Tampa Bay Rowdies expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tampa Bay Rowdies to win✗
39%
2.58
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tampa Bay Rowdies / FT Tampa Bay Rowdies✗
22%
4.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.56
–
Form
Detroit City – last 6
DWDLWW
16 Aug
vs Loudoun United
0–0
D
9 Aug
@ FC Tulsa
1–0
W
2 Aug
@ Miami FC
2–2
D
26 Jul
vs Las Vegas Lights
0–1
L
19 Jul
vs Indy Eleven
2–0
W
12 Jul
@ Fort Wayne
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Tampa Bay Rowdies – last 6
WDWWWD
16 Aug
vs Rhode Island
2–0
W
13 Aug
vs Louisville City
0–0
D
9 Aug
@ Orange County SC
3–0
W
2 Aug
vs Louisville City
5–4
W
26 Jul
@ Miami FC
3–2
W
19 Jul
@ Loudoun United
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Detroit City and Tampa Bay Rowdies.
What is the prediction for Detroit City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Detroit City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
On our numbers Detroit City have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Tampa Bay Rowdies 39%.
How many goals will there be in Detroit City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Detroit City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Our predicted score is Detroit City 1–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Detroit City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Detroit City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Keyworth Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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Las Vegas Lights0
Monterey Bay1
Colorado Springs0
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San Antonio0
Oakland Roots1
Orange County SC1
FC Tulsa5