USL Championship · USA · Championship Soccer StadiumOrange County SC vs FC Tulsa prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Orange County SC 1.3 – 1.2 FC Tulsa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Orange County SC and FC Tulsa on our numbers – 41% for the home side, 35% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Orange County SC have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.0 per game. FC Tulsa have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 0.5 scored and 0.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.3 for Orange County SC, 1.2 for FC Tulsa). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Orange County SC have won 1, FC Tulsa have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 57% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.75 is close to our fair price of 1.76.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Orange County SC to win ✗ | 41% | 2.46 | 2.45 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.44 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.76 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 78% | 1.29 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.22 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Orange County SC / FT Orange County SC ✗ | 22% | 4.49 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 8.84 | – |
Form
Orange County SC – last 6
| 16 Aug | vs Louisville City | 2–3 | L |
| 9 Aug | vs Tampa Bay Rowdies | 0–3 | L |
| 2 Aug | vs El Paso Locomotive | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Jul | @ Monterey Bay | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Jul | vs Colorado Springs | 0–3 | L |
| 9 Jul | @ Hartford Athletic | 2–2 | D |
FC Tulsa – last 6
| 16 Aug | @ New Mexico United | 0–1 | L |
| 9 Aug | vs Detroit City | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Aug | vs Sacramento Republic | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Jul | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Jul | vs Lexington | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Jul | vs El Paso Locomotive | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 12 Apr 2026 | FC Tulsa v Orange County SC | 0–1 |
USL Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  New Mexico United | 30 | +11 | 52 |
| 2 |  Sacramento Republic | 30 | +14 | 51 |
| 3 |  El Paso Locomotive | 30 | +10 | 50 |
| 4 |  Lexington | 30 | +18 | 48 |
| 5 |  Colorado Springs | 30 | +6 | 47 |
| 6 |  San Antonio | 30 | +2 | 45 |
| 7 |  FC Tulsa | 30 | +3 | 43 |
| 8 |  Phoenix Rising | 30 | -1 | 40 |
| 9 |  Orange County SC | 30 | -10 | 39 |
| 10 |  Oakland Roots | 30 | -1 | 38 |
| 11 |  Las Vegas Lights | 30 | -7 | 36 |
| 12 |  Monterey Bay | 30 | -20 | 24 |
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Sporting JAX3Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Orange County SC vs FC Tulsa?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Orange County SC vs FC Tulsa?
On our numbers Orange County SC have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FC Tulsa 35%.
How many goals will there be in Orange County SC vs FC Tulsa?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Orange County SC vs FC Tulsa?
Orange County SC vs FC Tulsa (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Championship Soccer Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.