Value bet: Tampa Bay Rowdies to win @ 1.73 – our chance 65% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTampa Bay Rowdies to win ✓65% · @1.73
Double chanceTampa Bay Rowdies or draw ✓89% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓13% · fair 7.94
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Rhode Island preview and prediction
The match
Tampa Bay Rowdies host Rhode Island in the USL Championship on Sunday 16 August, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Al Lang Stadium. Tampa Bay Rowdies are 1st with 61 points from 30 games (top of the table), while Rhode Island sit 7th on 42 points (in the top half). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tampa Bay Rowdies's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Louisville City 0–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rhode Island's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Colorado Springs 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tampa Bay Rowdies arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 May 2026, finished Rhode Island 1–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 0.8 for Rhode Island. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tampa Bay Rowdies 65%, draw 24%, Rhode Island 11%.
Safer route: Tampa Bay Rowdies or draw (89%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Tampa Bay Rowdies to win at 1.73 – 65% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Tampa Bay Rowdies 2–0 Rhode Island. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tampa Bay Rowdies65%fair 1.55 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.60
Rhode Island11%fair 8.79 · @4.20
2.78Expected goals
2.01Tampa Bay Rowdies xG
0.76Rhode Island xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–013%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Tampa Bay Rowdies 2.0 – 0.8 Rhode Island expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Rhode Island?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Rhode Island?
On our numbers Tampa Bay Rowdies have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rhode Island 11%.
How many goals will there be in Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Rhode Island?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Rhode Island?
Our predicted score is Tampa Bay Rowdies 2–0 Rhode Island, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Rhode Island?
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Rhode Island (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Al Lang Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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