Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Indy Eleven to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultIndy Eleven to win ✓63% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Sporting JAX vs Indy Eleven preview and prediction
The match
The USL Championship sees Sporting JAX take on Indy Eleven on Sunday 16 August, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Hodges Stadium. Sporting JAX are 13th with 14 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Indy Eleven sit 9th on 34 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sporting JAX's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Sacramento Republic 0–5 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Indy Eleven's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Hartford Athletic 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 May 2026, finished Indy Eleven 2–1 Sporting JAX.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.1 for Sporting JAX and 2.0 for Indy Eleven. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 63%.
Value angle: Indy Eleven to win at 1.80 – 63% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Sporting JAX 1–2 Indy Eleven. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting JAX22%fair 4.55 · @3.60
Draw16%fair 6.45 · @3.70
Indy Eleven63%fair 1.60 · @1.80
3.09Expected goals
1.06Sporting JAX xG
2.03Indy Eleven xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–110%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Sporting JAX 1.1 – 2.0 Indy Eleven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sporting JAX vs Indy Eleven?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sporting JAX vs Indy Eleven?
On our numbers Sporting JAX have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Indy Eleven 63%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting JAX vs Indy Eleven?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting JAX vs Indy Eleven?
Our predicted score is Sporting JAX 1–2 Indy Eleven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Sporting JAX vs Indy Eleven?
Sporting JAX vs Indy Eleven (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Hodges Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Colorado Springs3
San Antonio0
El Paso Locomotive3
New Mexico United1
FC Tulsa0
Oakland Roots1
Monterey Bay1