Oakland Roots vs Monterey Bay prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Oakland Roots or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Oakland Roots to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOakland Roots to win ✗57% · @1.95
Double chanceOakland Roots or draw ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.37
Oakland Roots vs Monterey Bay preview and prediction
The match
Oakland Roots host Monterey Bay in the USL Championship on Sunday 16 August, with kick-off at 03:00 (WAT) at Laney College Football Stadium. Oakland Roots are 10th with 38 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Monterey Bay sit 12th on 24 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Oakland Roots's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to El Paso Locomotive 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Monterey Bay's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to New Mexico United 2–5 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished Monterey Bay 0–1 Oakland Roots.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Oakland Roots and 1.0 for Monterey Bay. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Oakland Roots 57%, draw 22%, Monterey Bay 22%.
Safer route: Oakland Roots or draw (78%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Oakland Roots to win at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Oakland Roots or draw – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Oakland Roots 1–1 Monterey Bay. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Oakland Roots57%fair 1.76 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.55
Monterey Bay22%fair 4.64 · @3.35
2.84Expected goals
1.82Oakland Roots xG
1.02Monterey Bay xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
0–16%
From our goals model: Oakland Roots 1.8 – 1.0 Monterey Bay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Oakland Roots vs Monterey Bay?
Our pick is Oakland Roots or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Oakland Roots vs Monterey Bay?
On our numbers Oakland Roots have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Monterey Bay 22%.
How many goals will there be in Oakland Roots vs Monterey Bay?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oakland Roots vs Monterey Bay?
Our predicted score is Oakland Roots 1–1 Monterey Bay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Oakland Roots vs Monterey Bay?
Oakland Roots vs Monterey Bay (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Laney College Football Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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