Hartford Athletic vs Miami FC prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Hartford Athletic or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Hartford Athletic to win @ 1.77 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHartford Athletic to win ✓60% · @1.77
Double chanceHartford Athletic or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.43
Hartford Athletic vs Miami FC preview and prediction
The match
The USL Championship sees Hartford Athletic take on Miami FC on Sunday 16 August, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Trinity Health Stadium. Hartford Athletic are 6th with 43 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Miami FC sit 8th on 36 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Hartford Athletic's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Charlotte Independence 4–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Miami FC's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to San Antonio 1–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Hartford Athletic arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Hartford Athletic and 0.8 for Miami FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hartford Athletic 60%, draw 24%, Miami FC 16%.
Safer route: Hartford Athletic or draw (84%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Hartford Athletic to win at 1.77 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Hartford Athletic or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Hartford Athletic 1–0 Miami FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hartford Athletic60%fair 1.66 · @1.77
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.60
Miami FC16%fair 6.34 · @3.85
2.58Expected goals
1.78Hartford Athletic xG
0.79Miami FC xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Hartford Athletic 1.8 – 0.8 Miami FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hartford Athletic to win✓
60%
1.66
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Hartford Athletic or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.94
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.42
Half-time result
Hartford Athletic ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hartford Athletic / FT Hartford Athletic✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.43
–
Form
Hartford Athletic – last 6
WDLDLW
13 Aug
@ Charlotte Independence
4–2
W
9 Aug
@ Indy Eleven
1–1
D
2 Aug
@ Loudoun United
0–2
L
26 Jul
@ Phoenix Rising
0–0
D
19 Jul
@ Rhode Island
0–1
L
12 Jul
vs Westchester SC
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Miami FC – last 6
LLDLLW
13 Aug
@ San Antonio
1–2
L
9 Aug
vs Las Vegas Lights
0–1
L
2 Aug
vs Detroit City
2–2
D
26 Jul
vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
2–3
L
23 Jul
@ Colorado Springs
0–2
L
16 Jul
vs Indy Eleven
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hartford Athletic and Miami FC.
What is the prediction for Hartford Athletic vs Miami FC?
Our pick is Hartford Athletic or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Hartford Athletic vs Miami FC?
On our numbers Hartford Athletic have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Miami FC 16%.
How many goals will there be in Hartford Athletic vs Miami FC?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hartford Athletic vs Miami FC?
Our predicted score is Hartford Athletic 1–0 Miami FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Hartford Athletic vs Miami FC?
Hartford Athletic vs Miami FC (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Trinity Health Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Colorado Springs3
San Antonio0
El Paso Locomotive3
New Mexico United1
FC Tulsa0
Oakland Roots1
Monterey Bay1