Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sacramento Republic prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Sacramento Republic to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPittsburgh Riverhounds to win ✗43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.19
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sacramento Republic preview and prediction
The match
Sacramento Republic travel to Highmark Stadium in the USL Championship on Sunday 9 August (00:00 WAT) to face Pittsburgh Riverhounds. Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 5th with 45 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Sacramento Republic sit 2nd on 51 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Pittsburgh Riverhounds's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Oakland Roots 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Sacramento Republic's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to FC Tulsa 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds and 1.1 for Sacramento Republic. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Sacramento Republic to win at 3.20 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1–1 Sacramento Republic. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pittsburgh Riverhounds43%fair 2.31 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
Sacramento Republic34%fair 2.91 · @3.20
2.33Expected goals
1.26Pittsburgh Riverhounds xG
1.07Sacramento Republic xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1.3 – 1.1 Sacramento Republic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pittsburgh Riverhounds to win✗
43%
2.31
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pittsburgh Riverhounds / FT Pittsburgh Riverhounds✗
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.19
–
Form
Pittsburgh Riverhounds – last 6
WLLWLW
2 Aug
@ Oakland Roots
1–0
W
30 Jul
vs FC Tulsa
0–1
L
26 Jul
vs Rhode Island
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs Louisville City
3–1
W
16 Jul
@ Sporting JAX
1–2
L
12 Jul
vs Loudoun United
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sacramento Republic – last 6
LWWDLW
6 Aug
@ FC Tulsa
0–1
L
2 Aug
vs Sporting JAX
5–0
W
26 Jul
@ Oakland Roots
3–1
W
19 Jul
@ Charleston Battery
1–1
D
12 Jul
@ Boise
0–2
L
9 Jul
vs Rhode Island
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pittsburgh Riverhounds and Sacramento Republic.
What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sacramento Republic?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sacramento Republic?
On our numbers Pittsburgh Riverhounds have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sacramento Republic 34%.
How many goals will there be in Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sacramento Republic?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sacramento Republic?
Our predicted score is Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1–1 Sacramento Republic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sacramento Republic?
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sacramento Republic (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Highmark Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lexington1
Phoenix Rising0
Las Vegas Lights1
Colorado Springs0
San Antonio1
FC Tulsa0
El Paso Locomotive1
Oakland Roots0
Monterey Bay2
New Mexico United5