Value bet: El Paso Locomotive to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEl Paso Locomotive to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓10% · fair 9.53
El Paso Locomotive vs Oakland Roots preview and prediction
The match
El Paso Locomotive host Oakland Roots in the USL Championship on Sunday 9 August, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT) at Southwest University Park. El Paso Locomotive are 3rd with 50 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Oakland Roots sit 10th on 38 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
El Paso Locomotive's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Monterey Bay 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Oakland Roots's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Las Vegas Lights 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
El Paso Locomotive arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 May 2026, finished Oakland Roots 2–1 El Paso Locomotive.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for El Paso Locomotive and 1.0 for Oakland Roots. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Value angle: El Paso Locomotive to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: El Paso Locomotive 1–1 Oakland Roots. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
El Paso Locomotive61%fair 1.65 · @1.95
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @3.55
Oakland Roots20%fair 4.93 · @3.35
2.91Expected goals
1.92El Paso Locomotive xG
0.99Oakland Roots xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–010%
1–110%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: El Paso Locomotive 1.9 – 1.0 Oakland Roots expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for El Paso Locomotive vs Oakland Roots?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win El Paso Locomotive vs Oakland Roots?
On our numbers El Paso Locomotive have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Oakland Roots 20%.
How many goals will there be in El Paso Locomotive vs Oakland Roots?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Paso Locomotive vs Oakland Roots?
Our predicted score is El Paso Locomotive 1–1 Oakland Roots, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is El Paso Locomotive vs Oakland Roots?
El Paso Locomotive vs Oakland Roots (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Southwest University Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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