Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Indy Eleven prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Tampa Bay Rowdies to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTampa Bay Rowdies to win ✓67% · @1.55
Double chanceTampa Bay Rowdies or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.19
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Indy Eleven preview and prediction
The match
The USL Championship sees Tampa Bay Rowdies take on Indy Eleven on Sunday 3 May, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Al Lang Stadium. Tampa Bay Rowdies are 1st with 61 points from 30 games (top of the table), while Indy Eleven sit 9th on 34 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 27 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tampa Bay Rowdies's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Sarasota Paradise 2–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Indy Eleven's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Union Omaha 1–2 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Tampa Bay Rowdies arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 0.8 for Indy Eleven. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tampa Bay Rowdies 67%, draw 20%, Indy Eleven 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tampa Bay Rowdies to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tampa Bay Rowdies 2–0 Indy Eleven. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tampa Bay Rowdies67%fair 1.49 · @1.55
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @4.00
Indy Eleven13%fair 7.61 · @5.00
2.87Expected goals
2.08Tampa Bay Rowdies xG
0.80Indy Eleven xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Tampa Bay Rowdies 2.1 – 0.8 Indy Eleven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tampa Bay Rowdies to win✓
67%
1.49
1.55
Double chance
Tampa Bay Rowdies or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.48
Half-time result
Tampa Bay Rowdies ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tampa Bay Rowdies / FT Tampa Bay Rowdies✗
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.19
–
Form
Tampa Bay Rowdies – last 6
WDWWWW
26 Apr
vs Sarasota Paradise
2–0
W
12 Apr
vs Oakland Roots
2–2
D
5 Apr
@ Sporting JAX
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Loudoun United
3–1
W
22 Mar
vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
3–0
W
8 Mar
@ Birmingham Legion
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Indy Eleven – last 6
LWDLWW
26 Apr
vs Union Omaha
1–2
L
12 Apr
vs Monterey Bay
3–1
W
5 Apr
vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1–1
D
1 Apr
vs Union Omaha
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Detroit City
2–1
W
18 Mar
vs Des Moines Menace
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tampa Bay Rowdies and Indy Eleven.
What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Indy Eleven?
Our pick is Tampa Bay Rowdies to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Indy Eleven?
On our numbers Tampa Bay Rowdies have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Indy Eleven 13%.
How many goals will there be in Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Indy Eleven?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Indy Eleven?
Our predicted score is Tampa Bay Rowdies 2–0 Indy Eleven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Indy Eleven?
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Indy Eleven (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Al Lang Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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