Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion preview and prediction
The match
The USL Championship sees Rhode Island take on Birmingham Legion on Sunday 3 May, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Centreville Bank Stadium. Rhode Island are 7th with 42 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Birmingham Legion sit 11th on 30 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Rhode Island's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Hartford Athletic 0–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Birmingham Legion's last 3: LDL Most recently they lost to Charleston Battery 2–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Rhode Island arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Rhode Island and 0.8 for Birmingham Legion. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rhode Island 64%, draw 19%, Birmingham Legion 17%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.77.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Rhode Island 2–0 Birmingham Legion. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rhode Island64%fair 1.56 · @1.60
Draw19%fair 5.37 · @3.70
Birmingham Legion17%fair 5.85 · @4.80
2.79Expected goals
1.94Rhode Island xG
0.85Birmingham Legion xG
54%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Rhode Island 1.9 – 0.8 Birmingham Legion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rhode Island to win✗
64%
1.56
1.60
Double chance
Rhode Island or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.35
Half-time result
Rhode Island ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rhode Island / FT Rhode Island✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.38
–
Form
Rhode Island – last 6
DWWWLW
26 Apr
@ Hartford Athletic
0–0
D
23 Apr
vs Charleston Battery
4–0
W
12 Apr
@ Lexington
3–1
W
2 Apr
vs Hartford Athletic
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Miami FC
1–2
L
18 Mar
vs Faialense
4–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Birmingham Legion – last 3
LDL
22 Mar
@ Charleston Battery
2–3
L
11 Mar
vs Hartford Athletic
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rhode Island and Birmingham Legion.
What is the prediction for Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion?
On our numbers Rhode Island have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Birmingham Legion 17%.
How many goals will there be in Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion?
Our predicted score is Rhode Island 2–0 Birmingham Legion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion?
Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Centreville Bank Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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