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Today's tips
USL Championship · USA · Heart Health Park

Sacramento Republic

WDDWW
3–2
FT

Orange County SC

LDWWL

Sacramento Republic vs Orange County SC prediction & analysis

64%
Footrivo pick

Sacramento Republic to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.85Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSacramento Republic to win ✓64% · @1.85
Double chanceSacramento Republic or draw ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.48

Sacramento Republic vs Orange County SC preview and prediction

The match

Orange County SC travel to Heart Health Park in the USL Championship on Sunday 3 May (03:00 WAT) to face Sacramento Republic. Sacramento Republic are 2nd with 51 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Orange County SC sit 9th on 39 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Sacramento Republic's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Spokane Velocity 4–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Orange County SC's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to El Paso Locomotive 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Sacramento Republic arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.4 for Sacramento Republic and 0.4 for Orange County SC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Sacramento Republic to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sacramento Republic 1–0 Orange County SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Sacramento Republic64%fair 1.55 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.10
Orange County SC12%fair 8.27 · @4.10
1.87Expected goals
1.45Sacramento Republic xG
0.42Orange County SC xG
44%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–022%
2–016%
0–015%
1–19%
3–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: Sacramento Republic 1.4 – 0.4 Orange County SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSacramento Republic to win ✓64%1.551.85 ▲
Double chanceSacramento Republic or draw ✓88%1.141.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗56%1.781.60
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓60%1.671.45
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67%1.501.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84%1.201.17
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗49%2.03–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sacramento Republic / FT Sacramento Republic ✗38%2.63–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22%4.48–

Form

Sacramento Republic – last 6

WDDWWL
26 Aprvs Spokane Velocity4–0W
22 Apr@ Brooklyn1–1D
12 Apr@ Las Vegas Lights1–1D
5 Aprvs Phoenix Rising2–0W
1 Apr@ Valley 559 FC4–0W
29 Marvs El Paso Locomotive1–2L
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Orange County SC – last 6

LDWWLD
26 Aprvs El Paso Locomotive1–2L
19 Aprvs Lexington0–0D
12 Apr@ FC Tulsa1–0W
9 Aprvs San Antonio2–0W
5 Aprvs New Mexico United0–1L
2 Aprvs Phoenix Rising1–1D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sacramento Republic and Orange County SC.

Sacramento Republic vs Orange County SC head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1New Mexico United301578+1152
2Sacramento Republic3013125+1451
3El Paso Locomotive3015510+1050
4Lexington3014610+1848
5Colorado Springs301389+647
6San Antonio3011127+245
7FC Tulsa3011109+343
8Phoenix Rising30101010-140
9Orange County SC3010911-1039
10Oakland Roots3091110-138
11Las Vegas Lights3010614-736
12Monterey Bay306618-2024

More USL Championship predictions

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FT Charleston Battery4 Sporting JAX0 172%1.35X20%4.4028%7.40 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✓
FT Miami FC3 Brooklyn2 146%2.15X21%3.40233%2.95 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓
FT Pittsburgh Riverhounds0 Phoenix Rising1 159%1.85X21%3.25221%3.90 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 72%@1.35 ✗
FT Rhode Island1 Birmingham Legion3 164%1.60X19%3.70217%4.80 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓
FT Tampa Bay Rowdies1 Indy Eleven0 167%1.55X20%4.00213%5.00 1Tampa Bay Rowdies to win 67%@1.55 ✓
FT San Antonio3 Colorado Springs3 147%2.20X22%3.25231%2.95 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✗
FT Las Vegas Lights2 Lexington1 140%2.65X24%3.20236%2.40 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sacramento Republic vs Orange County SC?

Our pick is Sacramento Republic to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Sacramento Republic vs Orange County SC?

On our numbers Sacramento Republic have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Orange County SC 12%.

How many goals will there be in Sacramento Republic vs Orange County SC?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sacramento Republic vs Orange County SC?

Our predicted score is Sacramento Republic 1–0 Orange County SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Sacramento Republic vs Orange County SC?

Sacramento Republic vs Orange County SC (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Heart Health Park.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.