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Premier Division · Ireland · Showgrounds
1–1
FT

Sligo Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl. prediction & analysis

74%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✗59% · @1.69
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.35

Sligo Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl. preview and prediction

The match

The Premier Division sees Sligo Rovers take on St Patrick's Athl. on Monday 4 May, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Showgrounds. Sligo Rovers are 10th with 25 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while St Patrick's Athl. sit 3rd on 60 points (in the top four). A gap of 35 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Sligo Rovers's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Drogheda United 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.

St Patrick's Athl.'s last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Galway United 2–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.

St Patrick's Athl. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 3 April 2026, finished St Patrick's Athl. 4–1 Sligo Rovers.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.8 for Sligo Rovers and 1.7 for St Patrick's Athl.. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 50%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Sligo Rovers 0–1 St Patrick's Athl.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Sligo Rovers21%fair 4.77 · @4.85
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.65
St Patrick's Athl.59%fair 1.70 · @1.69
2.50Expected goals
0.84Sligo Rovers xG
1.66St Patrick's Athl. xG
50%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–114%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–08%
1–07%

From our goals model: Sligo Rovers 0.8 – 1.7 St Patrick's Athl. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✗59%1.701.69
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80%1.251.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%2.001.83
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.891.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.351.30
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT St Patrick's Athl. / FT St Patrick's Athl. ✗35%2.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14%7.35–

Form

Sligo Rovers – last 6

LWDLLL
1 May@ Drogheda United0–1L
10 Apr@ Bohemians2–1W
6 Aprvs Derry City0–0D
3 Apr@ St Patrick's Athl.1–4L
16 Mar@ Dundalk0–1L
13 Marvs Shamrock Rovers0–2L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

St Patrick's Athl. – last 6

DWWLLW
1 May@ Galway United2–2D
24 Aprvs Bohemians3–1W
17 Apr@ Drogheda United3–1W
10 Aprvs Shamrock Rovers0–1L
6 Apr@ Dundalk0–2L
3 Aprvs Sligo Rovers4–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Apr 2026St Patrick's Athl. v Sligo Rovers4–1
Sligo Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl. head-to-head page →

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers362088+2168
2Bohemians361989+1965
3St Patrick's Athl.3617910+2460
4Shelbourne36121311+249
5Derry City36111510+348
6Dundalk36111213-445
7Waterford36101313-743
8Galway United36101214-742
9Drogheda United36101016-1340
10Sligo Rovers3651021-3825

More Premier Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sligo Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl.?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Sligo Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl.?

On our numbers Sligo Rovers have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 20% and St Patrick's Athl. 59%.

How many goals will there be in Sligo Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl.?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sligo Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl.?

Our predicted score is Sligo Rovers 0–1 St Patrick's Athl., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Sligo Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl.?

Sligo Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl. (Premier Division) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Showgrounds.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.