Value bet: Shelbourne to win @ 3.75 – our chance 34% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBohemians to win ✗44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.21
Bohemians vs Shelbourne preview and prediction
The match
Bohemians host Shelbourne in the Premier Division on Monday 4 May, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Dalymount Park. Bohemians are 2nd with 65 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Shelbourne sit 4th on 49 points (in the top four). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Bohemians's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with Derry City 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Shelbourne's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Dundalk 2–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 March 2026, finished Shelbourne 0–0 Bohemians.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Bohemians and 1.2 for Shelbourne. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Shelbourne to win at 3.75 – 34% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Bohemians 1–1 Shelbourne. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bohemians44%fair 2.25 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.30
Shelbourne34%fair 2.97 · @3.75
2.55Expected goals
1.39Bohemians xG
1.16Shelbourne xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Bohemians 1.4 – 1.2 Shelbourne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Bohemians vs Shelbourne?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bohemians vs Shelbourne?
On our numbers Bohemians have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Shelbourne 34%.
How many goals will there be in Bohemians vs Shelbourne?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bohemians vs Shelbourne?
Our predicted score is Bohemians 1–1 Shelbourne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Bohemians vs Shelbourne?
Bohemians vs Shelbourne (Premier Division) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Dalymount Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.