Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultShamrock Rovers to win ✓62% · @1.48
Double chanceShamrock Rovers or draw ✓82% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.36
Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United preview and prediction
The match
Shamrock Rovers host Drogheda United in the Premier Division on Monday 4 May, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Tallaght Stadium. Shamrock Rovers are 1st with 68 points from 36 games (top of the table), while Drogheda United sit 9th on 40 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 28 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Shamrock Rovers's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Waterford 1–0 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Drogheda United's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Sligo Rovers 1–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Shamrock Rovers arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 March 2026, finished Drogheda United 0–0 Shamrock Rovers.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Shamrock Rovers and 0.8 for Drogheda United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Shamrock Rovers 62%, draw 20%, Drogheda United 18%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 55% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Shamrock Rovers 1–0 Drogheda United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shamrock Rovers62%fair 1.62 · @1.48
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @4.00
Drogheda United18%fair 5.52 · @7.00
2.57Expected goals
1.77Shamrock Rovers xG
0.80Drogheda United xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Shamrock Rovers 1.8 – 0.8 Drogheda United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United?
On our numbers Shamrock Rovers have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Drogheda United 18%.
How many goals will there be in Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United?
Our predicted score is Shamrock Rovers 1–0 Drogheda United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United?
Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United (Premier Division) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Tallaght Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
