Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Derry City to win @ 1.81 – our chance 64% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDerry City to win ✗64% · @1.81
Double chanceDerry City or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.27
Derry City vs Galway United preview and prediction
The match
Galway United travel to The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium in the Premier Division on Monday 4 May (17:00 WAT) to face Derry City. Derry City are 5th with 48 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Galway United sit 8th on 42 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Derry City's last 5: DWDDL Most recently they drew with Bohemians 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Galway United's last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with St Patrick's Athl. 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 April 2026, finished Galway United 2–1 Derry City.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Derry City and 0.7 for Galway United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Derry City 64%, draw 22%, Galway United 13%.
Safer route: Derry City or draw (87%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Derry City to win at 1.81 – 64% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Derry City or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Derry City 1–0 Galway United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Derry City64%fair 1.55 · @1.81
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.55
Galway United13%fair 7.55 · @4.30
2.62Expected goals
1.89Derry City xG
0.73Galway United xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Derry City 1.9 – 0.7 Galway United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Derry City vs Galway United?
Our pick is Derry City or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Derry City vs Galway United?
On our numbers Derry City have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Galway United 13%.
How many goals will there be in Derry City vs Galway United?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derry City vs Galway United?
Our predicted score is Derry City 1–0 Galway United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Derry City vs Galway United?
Derry City vs Galway United (Premier Division) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
