Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford preview and prediction
The match
The Premier Division sees Shamrock Rovers take on Waterford on Friday 1 May, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Tallaght Stadium. Shamrock Rovers are 1st with 68 points from 36 games (top of the table), while Waterford sit 7th on 43 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Shamrock Rovers's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Bohemians 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Waterford's last 5: DDDLL Most recently they drew with Galway United 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Shamrock Rovers arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 April 2026, finished Waterford 1–1 Shamrock Rovers.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.2 for Shamrock Rovers and 0.6 for Waterford. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 57%, both teams to score at 52%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Shamrock Rovers to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Shamrock Rovers 2–0 Waterford. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shamrock Rovers72%fair 1.38 · @1.23
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @5.50
Waterford7%fair 14.15 · @13.00
2.83Expected goals
2.21Shamrock Rovers xG
0.62Waterford xG
52%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–013%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Shamrock Rovers 2.2 – 0.6 Waterford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford?
Our pick is Shamrock Rovers to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford?
On our numbers Shamrock Rovers have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Waterford 7%.
How many goals will there be in Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford?
Our predicted score is Shamrock Rovers 2–0 Waterford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford?
Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Tallaght Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
