Galway United vs St Patrick's Athl. prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
St Patrick's Athl. or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: St Patrick's Athl. to win @ 1.90 – our chance 64% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✗64% · @1.90
Double chanceSt Patrick's Athl. or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.05
Galway United vs St Patrick's Athl. preview and prediction
The match
Galway United host St Patrick's Athl. in the Premier Division on Friday 1 May, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Eamonn Deacy Park. Galway United are 8th with 42 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while St Patrick's Athl. sit 3rd on 60 points (in the top four). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Galway United's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Waterford 1–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
St Patrick's Athl.'s last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Bohemians 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 March 2026, finished St Patrick's Athl. 1–0 Galway United.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.7 for Galway United and 1.9 for St Patrick's Athl.. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Galway United 13%, draw 23%, St Patrick's Athl. 64%.
Safer route: St Patrick's Athl. or draw (87%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.83.
Value angle: St Patrick's Athl. to win at 1.90 – 64% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was St Patrick's Athl. or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Galway United 0–1 St Patrick's Athl.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Galway United13%fair 7.69 · @4.10
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.35
St Patrick's Athl.64%fair 1.56 · @1.90
2.57Expected goals
0.71Galway United xG
1.86St Patrick's Athl. xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–38%
0–08%
From our goals model: Galway United 0.7 – 1.9 St Patrick's Athl. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Galway United vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Our pick is St Patrick's Athl. or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Galway United vs St Patrick's Athl.?
On our numbers Galway United have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 23% and St Patrick's Athl. 64%.
How many goals will there be in Galway United vs St Patrick's Athl.?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Galway United vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Our predicted score is Galway United 0–1 St Patrick's Athl., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Galway United vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Galway United vs St Patrick's Athl. (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Eamonn Deacy Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
