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Premier Division · Ireland · Oriel Park

Dundalk

WDWWD
1–2
FT

Dundalk vs Shelbourne prediction & analysis

77%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultDundalk to win ✗41% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.59

Dundalk vs Shelbourne preview and prediction

The match

Shelbourne travel to Oriel Park in the Premier Division on Friday 1 May (19:45 WAT) to face Dundalk. Dundalk are 6th with 45 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Shelbourne sit 4th on 49 points (in the top four).

Form guide

Dundalk's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Galway United 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Shelbourne's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Drogheda United 3–4 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Dundalk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.7.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 3 April 2026, finished Shelbourne 2–3 Dundalk.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Dundalk and 1.4 for Shelbourne. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Dundalk 1–1 Shelbourne. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Dundalk41%fair 2.47 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.55
Shelbourne37%fair 2.71 · @2.60
2.97Expected goals
1.53Dundalk xG
1.44Shelbourne xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Dundalk 1.5 – 1.4 Shelbourne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDundalk to win ✗41%2.472.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.591.65
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.291.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.481.35
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.51–
Half-time / full-timeHT Dundalk / FT Dundalk ✗23%4.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.59–

Form

Dundalk – last 6

WDWWDW
17 Aprvs Galway United2–1W
10 Aprvs Derry City2–2D
6 Aprvs St Patrick's Athl.2–0W
3 Apr@ Shelbourne3–2W
20 Mar@ Bohemians1–1D
16 Marvs Sligo Rovers1–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Shelbourne – last 6

LLLLDW
24 Aprvs Drogheda United3–4L
17 Aprvs Derry City1–2L
6 Apr@ Shamrock Rovers2–3L
3 Aprvs Dundalk2–3L
16 Marvs Bohemians0–0D
13 Mar@ Derry City2–1W
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Apr 2026Shelbourne v Dundalk2–3
Dundalk vs Shelbourne head-to-head page →

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers362088+2168
2Bohemians361989+1965
3St Patrick's Athl.3617910+2460
4Shelbourne36121311+249
5Derry City36111510+348
6Dundalk36111213-445
7Waterford36101313-743
8Galway United36101214-742
9Drogheda United36101016-1340
10Sligo Rovers3651021-3825

More Premier Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dundalk vs Shelbourne?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Dundalk vs Shelbourne?

On our numbers Dundalk have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Shelbourne 37%.

How many goals will there be in Dundalk vs Shelbourne?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dundalk vs Shelbourne?

Our predicted score is Dundalk 1–1 Shelbourne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Dundalk vs Shelbourne?

Dundalk vs Shelbourne (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Oriel Park.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.