Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Bohemians to win @ 1.89 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBohemians to win ✗59% · @1.89
Double chanceBohemians or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.41
Bohemians vs Derry City preview and prediction
The match
Derry City travel to Dalymount Park in the Premier Division on Friday 1 May (20:00 WAT) to face Bohemians. Bohemians are 2nd with 65 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Derry City sit 5th on 48 points (in the top half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Bohemians's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to St Patrick's Athl. 1–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Derry City's last 5: WDDLD Most recently they beat Shelbourne 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Derry City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 February 2026, finished Derry City 0–1 Bohemians.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Bohemians and 0.7 for Derry City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bohemians 59%, draw 24%, Derry City 17%.
Safer route: Bohemians or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Bohemians to win at 1.89 – 59% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bohemians or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Bohemians 1–0 Derry City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bohemians59%fair 1.69 · @1.89
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.35
Derry City17%fair 5.77 · @4.10
2.33Expected goals
1.61Bohemians xG
0.73Derry City xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Bohemians 1.6 – 0.7 Derry City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Bohemians vs Derry City?
Our pick is Bohemians or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bohemians vs Derry City?
On our numbers Bohemians have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Derry City 17%.
How many goals will there be in Bohemians vs Derry City?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bohemians vs Derry City?
Our predicted score is Bohemians 1–0 Derry City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Bohemians vs Derry City?
Bohemians vs Derry City (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Dalymount Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
