Drogheda United vs Sligo Rovers prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Drogheda United or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Drogheda United to win @ 1.94 – our chance 65% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDrogheda United to win ✓65% · @1.94
Double chanceDrogheda United or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 6.98
Drogheda United vs Sligo Rovers preview and prediction
The match
Sligo Rovers travel to Weavers Park in the Premier Division on Friday 1 May (19:45 WAT) to face Drogheda United. Drogheda United are 9th with 40 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Sligo Rovers sit 10th on 25 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Drogheda United's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Shelbourne 4–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Sligo Rovers's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Bohemians 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Drogheda United and 0.7 for Sligo Rovers. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Drogheda United 65%, draw 20%, Sligo Rovers 15%.
Safer route: Drogheda United or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Drogheda United to win at 1.94 – 65% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Drogheda United or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Drogheda United 1–0 Sligo Rovers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Drogheda United65%fair 1.54 · @1.94
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.30
Sligo Rovers15%fair 6.59 · @3.95
2.54Expected goals
1.82Drogheda United xG
0.72Sligo Rovers xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Drogheda United 1.8 – 0.7 Sligo Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Drogheda United to win✓
65%
1.54
1.94 ▲
Double chance
Drogheda United or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
Drogheda United ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Drogheda United / FT Drogheda United✓
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
6.98
–
Form
Drogheda United – last 6
WLLDDD
24 Apr
@ Shelbourne
4–3
W
17 Apr
vs St Patrick's Athl.
1–3
L
6 Apr
vs Galway United
2–3
L
3 Apr
vs Bohemians
0–0
D
20 Mar
@ Derry City
2–2
D
16 Mar
vs Shamrock Rovers
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sligo Rovers – last 6
WDLLLL
10 Apr
@ Bohemians
2–1
W
6 Apr
vs Derry City
0–0
D
3 Apr
@ St Patrick's Athl.
1–4
L
16 Mar
@ Dundalk
0–1
L
13 Mar
vs Shamrock Rovers
0–2
L
27 Feb
@ Galway United
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Drogheda United and Sligo Rovers.
What is the prediction for Drogheda United vs Sligo Rovers?
Our pick is Drogheda United or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Drogheda United vs Sligo Rovers?
On our numbers Drogheda United have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sligo Rovers 15%.
How many goals will there be in Drogheda United vs Sligo Rovers?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Drogheda United vs Sligo Rovers?
Our predicted score is Drogheda United 1–0 Sligo Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Drogheda United vs Sligo Rovers?
Drogheda United vs Sligo Rovers (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Weavers Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
