Value bet: Bohemians to win @ 3.05 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBohemians to win ✗37% · @3.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.73
Shelbourne vs Bohemians preview and prediction
The match
The Premier Division sees Shelbourne take on Bohemians on Monday 16 March, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Tolka Park. Shelbourne are 4th with 49 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Bohemians sit 2nd on 65 points (in the top four). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Shelbourne's last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat Derry City 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Bohemians's last 4: WWWW Most recently they beat Galway United 1–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bohemians arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Shelbourne and 1.3 for Bohemians. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Bohemians to win at 3.05 – 37% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Shelbourne 1–1 Bohemians. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shelbourne37%fair 2.71 · @2.48
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @2.94
Bohemians37%fair 2.68 · @3.05
2.50Expected goals
1.25Shelbourne xG
1.26Bohemians xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Shelbourne 1.2 – 1.3 Bohemians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bohemians to win✗
37%
2.68
3.05 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bohemians / FT Bohemians✗
21%
4.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.73
–
Form
Shelbourne – last 5
WDLWD
13 Mar
@ Derry City
2–1
W
9 Mar
vs Shamrock Rovers
2–2
D
6 Mar
vs St Patrick's Athl.
2–3
L
27 Feb
@ Drogheda United
2–1
W
20 Feb
vs Galway United
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
100%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Bohemians – last 4
WWWW
13 Mar
vs Galway United
1–0
W
6 Mar
@ Waterford
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs Shamrock Rovers
3–2
W
20 Feb
@ Derry City
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shelbourne and Bohemians.
What is the prediction for Shelbourne vs Bohemians?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Shelbourne vs Bohemians?
On our numbers Shelbourne have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Bohemians 37%.
How many goals will there be in Shelbourne vs Bohemians?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shelbourne vs Bohemians?
Our predicted score is Shelbourne 1–1 Bohemians, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Shelbourne vs Bohemians?
Shelbourne vs Bohemians (Premier Division) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Tolka Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
