Drogheda United vs Shamrock Rovers preview and prediction
The match
Shamrock Rovers travel to Weavers Park in the Premier Division on Monday 16 March (20:45 WAT) to face Drogheda United. Drogheda United are 9th with 40 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Shamrock Rovers sit 1st on 68 points (top of the table). A gap of 28 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Drogheda United's last 4: LLDW Most recently they lost to St Patrick's Athl. 1–4 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Shamrock Rovers's last 5: WDWLD Most recently they beat Sligo Rovers 2–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Shamrock Rovers arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.0 for Drogheda United and 1.5 for Shamrock Rovers. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Drogheda United 28%, draw 22%, Shamrock Rovers 50%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Drogheda United 1–1 Shamrock Rovers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Drogheda United28%fair 3.59 · @3.85
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.35
Shamrock Rovers50%fair 1.98 · @1.96
2.55Expected goals
1.03Drogheda United xG
1.51Shamrock Rovers xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Drogheda United 1.0 – 1.5 Shamrock Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shamrock Rovers to win✗
50%
1.98
1.96
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shamrock Rovers / FT Shamrock Rovers✗
29%
3.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.44
–
Form
Drogheda United – last 4
LLDW
13 Mar
@ St Patrick's Athl.
1–4
L
27 Feb
vs Shelbourne
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ Dundalk
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Waterford
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Shamrock Rovers – last 6
WDWLDW
13 Mar
@ Sligo Rovers
2–0
W
9 Mar
@ Shelbourne
2–2
D
6 Mar
vs Derry City
1–0
W
27 Feb
@ Bohemians
2–3
L
23 Feb
vs Dundalk
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs St Patrick's Athl.
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Drogheda United and Shamrock Rovers.
What is the prediction for Drogheda United vs Shamrock Rovers?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Drogheda United vs Shamrock Rovers?
On our numbers Drogheda United have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Shamrock Rovers 50%.
How many goals will there be in Drogheda United vs Shamrock Rovers?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Drogheda United vs Shamrock Rovers?
Our predicted score is Drogheda United 1–1 Shamrock Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Drogheda United vs Shamrock Rovers?
Drogheda United vs Shamrock Rovers (Premier Division) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Weavers Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
