Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGalway United to win ✓57% · @1.84
Double chanceGalway United or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.21
Galway United vs Waterford preview and prediction
The match
The Premier Division sees Galway United take on Waterford on Monday 16 March, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Eamonn Deacy Park. Galway United are 8th with 42 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Waterford sit 7th on 43 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Galway United's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Bohemians 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Waterford's last 4: LLDL Most recently they lost to Bohemians 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Galway United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.6 for Galway United and 0.8 for Waterford. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Galway United 57%, draw 24%, Waterford 19%.
Safer route: Galway United or draw (81%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Galway United or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Galway United 1–0 Waterford. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Galway United57%fair 1.75 · @1.84
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.65
Waterford19%fair 5.29 · @3.95
2.48Expected goals
1.65Galway United xG
0.83Waterford xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–111%
2–011%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Galway United 1.6 – 0.8 Waterford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Galway United to win✓
57%
1.75
1.84 ▲
Double chance
Galway United or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Galway United / FT Galway United✗
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.21
–
Form
Galway United – last 5
LDLWD
13 Mar
@ Bohemians
0–1
L
6 Mar
vs Dundalk
2–2
D
2 Mar
@ St Patrick's Athl.
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Sligo Rovers
1–0
W
20 Feb
@ Shelbourne
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Waterford – last 4
LLDL
6 Mar
vs Bohemians
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ Derry City
2–4
L
20 Feb
vs Sligo Rovers
0–0
D
13 Feb
@ Drogheda United
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Galway United and Waterford.
What is the prediction for Galway United vs Waterford?
Our pick is Galway United or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Galway United vs Waterford?
On our numbers Galway United have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Waterford 19%.
How many goals will there be in Galway United vs Waterford?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Galway United vs Waterford?
Our predicted score is Galway United 1–0 Waterford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Galway United vs Waterford?
Galway United vs Waterford (Premier Division) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Eamonn Deacy Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.