Sligo Rovers travel to Oriel Park in the Premier Division on Monday 16 March (20:45 WAT) to face Dundalk. Dundalk are 6th with 45 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Sligo Rovers sit 10th on 25 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Dundalk's last 5: DLDDD Most recently they drew with Galway United 2–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Sligo Rovers's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to Shamrock Rovers 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Dundalk and 0.9 for Sligo Rovers. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 53%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Dundalk 2–0 Sligo Rovers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dundalk60%fair 1.65 · @1.57
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.85
Sligo Rovers17%fair 5.77 · @5.75
2.78Expected goals
1.89Dundalk xG
0.90Sligo Rovers xG
53%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Dundalk 1.9 – 0.9 Sligo Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dundalk to win✓
60%
1.65
1.57
Double chance
Dundalk or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.36
Half-time result
Dundalk ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dundalk / FT Dundalk✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
12%
8.59
–
Form
Dundalk – last 5
DLDDD
6 Mar
@ Galway United
2–2
D
27 Feb
@ St Patrick's Athl.
0–4
L
23 Feb
@ Shamrock Rovers
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Drogheda United
1–1
D
13 Feb
@ Derry City
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Sligo Rovers – last 3
LLD
13 Mar
vs Shamrock Rovers
0–2
L
27 Feb
@ Galway United
0–1
L
20 Feb
@ Waterford
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dundalk and Sligo Rovers.
What is the prediction for Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers?
On our numbers Dundalk have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sligo Rovers 17%.
How many goals will there be in Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers?
Our predicted score is Dundalk 2–0 Sligo Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers?
Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers (Premier Division) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Oriel Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
