Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeon to win ✓43% · @2.24
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.27
Leon vs FC Juarez preview and prediction
The match
The Liga MX sees Leon take on FC Juarez on Sunday 19 April, kicking off at 04:06 (WAT) at Estadio Leon.
Form guide
Leon's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Puebla 1–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
FC Juarez's last 5: DDWDL Most recently they drew with Club Queretaro 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.6 for Leon and 1.4 for FC Juarez. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Leon 43%, draw 22%, FC Juarez 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Leon 1–1 FC Juarez. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leon43%fair 2.34 · @2.24
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.65
FC Juarez35%fair 2.86 · @2.88
2.96Expected goals
1.57Leon xG
1.39FC Juarez xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%
From our goals model: Leon 1.6 – 1.4 FC Juarez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leon to win✓
43%
2.34
2.24
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.48
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leon / FT Leon✓
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.27
–
Form
Leon – last 6
WWWLLL
11 Apr
@ Puebla
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs Atlas
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Atletico San Luis
2–1
W
19 Mar
@ Guadalajara Chivas
0–5
L
15 Mar
vs Club Tijuana
0–3
L
7 Mar
@ Mazatlán
2–4
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FC Juarez – last 6
DDWDLW
8 Apr
@ Club Queretaro
1–1
D
4 Apr
@ Puebla
1–1
D
23 Mar
vs Tigres UANL
2–1
W
14 Mar
vs Monterrey
2–2
D
9 Mar
@ Toluca
1–3
L
5 Mar
@ Club America
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leon and FC Juarez.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Leon vs FC Juarez?
On our numbers Leon have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Juarez 35%.
How many goals will there be in Leon vs FC Juarez?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leon vs FC Juarez?
Our predicted score is Leon 1–1 FC Juarez, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Leon vs FC Juarez?
Leon vs FC Juarez (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 04:06 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Leon.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
