Double chanceGuadalajara Chivas or draw ✓89% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.51
Guadalajara Chivas vs Puebla preview and prediction
The match
Puebla travel to Estadio Akron in the Liga MX on Sunday 19 April (02:07 WAT) to face Guadalajara Chivas. Guadalajara Chivas are 3rd with 30 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Puebla sit 13th on 19 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Guadalajara Chivas's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Tigres UANL 1–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Puebla's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to Leon 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Guadalajara Chivas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.3 for Guadalajara Chivas and 0.8 for Puebla. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Guadalajara Chivas to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Guadalajara Chivas 2–0 Puebla. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guadalajara Chivas70%fair 1.43 · @1.25
Draw19%fair 5.13 · @5.50
Puebla11%fair 9.50 · @11.50
3.12Expected goals
2.31Guadalajara Chivas xG
0.81Puebla xG
50%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–010%
2–110%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Guadalajara Chivas 2.3 – 0.8 Puebla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guadalajara Chivas to win✓
70%
1.43
1.25
Double chance
Guadalajara Chivas or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.04
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.62
Half-time result
Guadalajara Chivas ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guadalajara Chivas / FT Guadalajara Chivas✓
47%
2.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.51
–
Form
Guadalajara Chivas – last 6
LDWWWW
12 Apr
@ Tigres UANL
1–4
L
6 Apr
vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2–2
D
22 Mar
@ Monterrey
3–2
W
19 Mar
vs Leon
5–0
W
15 Mar
vs Santos Laguna
3–0
W
8 Mar
@ Atlas
2–1
W
2.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Puebla – last 6
LDLDLW
11 Apr
vs Leon
0–1
L
4 Apr
vs FC Juarez
1–1
D
23 Mar
@ Santos Laguna
1–2
L
14 Mar
vs Necaxa
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Pachuca
1–2
L
5 Mar
vs Tigres UANL
3–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guadalajara Chivas and Puebla.
What is the prediction for Guadalajara Chivas vs Puebla?
Our pick is Guadalajara Chivas to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Guadalajara Chivas vs Puebla?
On our numbers Guadalajara Chivas have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Puebla 11%.
How many goals will there be in Guadalajara Chivas vs Puebla?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guadalajara Chivas vs Puebla?
Our predicted score is Guadalajara Chivas 2–0 Puebla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Guadalajara Chivas vs Puebla?
Guadalajara Chivas vs Puebla (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 02:07 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Akron.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Leon3