Value bet: Cruz Azul to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultClub America to win ✗39% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.34
Club America vs Cruz Azul preview and prediction
The match
Club America host Cruz Azul in the Liga MX on Sunday 12 April, with kick-off at 04:05 (WAT) at Estadio Azteca. Club America are 2nd with 30 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Cruz Azul sit 1st on 32 points (top of the table). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Club America's last 5: DDLDW Most recently they drew with Nashville SC 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cruz Azul's last 5: LLDDD Most recently they lost to Los Angeles FC 0–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Club America arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Club America and 1.4 for Cruz Azul. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Club America 39%, draw 23%, Cruz Azul 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Cruz Azul to win at 2.90 – 38% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Club America 1–1 Cruz Azul. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Club America39%fair 2.55 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.45
Cruz Azul38%fair 2.64 · @2.90
2.76Expected goals
1.40Club America xG
1.37Cruz Azul xG
63%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–06%
From our goals model: Club America 1.4 – 1.4 Cruz Azul expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Club America to win✗
39%
2.55
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Club America / FT Club America✗
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.34
–
Form
Club America – last 6
DDLDWW
8 Apr
@ Nashville SC
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Santos Laguna
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0–1
L
19 Mar
vs Philadelphia Union
1–1
D
16 Mar
vs Mazatlán
2–0
W
11 Mar
@ Philadelphia Union
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Cruz Azul – last 6
LLDDDW
8 Apr
@ Los Angeles FC
0–3
L
5 Apr
vs Pachuca
1–2
L
21 Mar
@ Mazatlán
1–1
D
18 Mar
vs Monterrey
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2–2
D
11 Mar
@ Monterrey
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Club America and Cruz Azul.
What is the prediction for Club America vs Cruz Azul?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Club America vs Cruz Azul?
On our numbers Club America have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cruz Azul 38%.
How many goals will there be in Club America vs Cruz Azul?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club America vs Cruz Azul?
Our predicted score is Club America 1–1 Cruz Azul, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Club America vs Cruz Azul?
Club America vs Cruz Azul (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 04:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Azteca.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán