Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Chivas preview and prediction
The match
Tigres UANL host Guadalajara Chivas in the Liga MX on Sunday 12 April, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Universitario (UANL). Tigres UANL are 15th with 15 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Guadalajara Chivas sit 3rd on 30 points (in the top four). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tigres UANL's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Seattle Sounders 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Guadalajara Chivas's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Guadalajara Chivas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Tigres UANL and 1.4 for Guadalajara Chivas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Tigres UANL 1–1 Guadalajara Chivas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tigres UANL39%fair 2.53 · @2.46
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.35
Guadalajara Chivas37%fair 2.72 · @2.74
2.82Expected goals
1.44Tigres UANL xG
1.38Guadalajara Chivas xG
63%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: Tigres UANL 1.4 – 1.4 Guadalajara Chivas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tigres UANL to win✓
39%
2.53
2.46
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tigres UANL / FT Tigres UANL✓
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.65
–
Form
Tigres UANL – last 6
WLLWDL
9 Apr
vs Seattle Sounders
2–0
W
4 Apr
@ Club Tijuana
0–1
L
23 Mar
@ FC Juarez
1–2
L
20 Mar
vs FC Cincinnati
5–1
W
16 Mar
vs Club Queretaro
0–0
D
13 Mar
@ FC Cincinnati
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Guadalajara Chivas – last 6
DWWWWL
6 Apr
vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2–2
D
22 Mar
@ Monterrey
3–2
W
19 Mar
vs Leon
5–0
W
15 Mar
vs Santos Laguna
3–0
W
8 Mar
@ Atlas
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Toluca
0–2
L
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tigres UANL and Guadalajara Chivas.
What is the prediction for Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Chivas?
On our numbers Tigres UANL have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Guadalajara Chivas 37%.
How many goals will there be in Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Chivas?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Our predicted score is Tigres UANL 1–1 Guadalajara Chivas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Chivas (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Universitario (UANL).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán