Value bet: Necaxa to win @ 2.72 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNecaxa to win ✗40% · @2.72
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.89
Club Queretaro vs Necaxa preview and prediction
The match
Necaxa travel to Estadio La Corregidora in the Liga MX on Sunday 12 April (00:00 WAT) to face Club Queretaro. Club Queretaro are 12th with 20 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Necaxa sit 17th on 13 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Club Queretaro's last 5: DWDDL Most recently they drew with FC Juarez 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Necaxa's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Mazatlán 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Club Queretaro and 1.4 for Necaxa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Club Queretaro 37%, draw 23%, Necaxa 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Necaxa to win at 2.72 – 40% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Club Queretaro 1–1 Necaxa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Club Queretaro37%fair 2.70 · @2.46
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.40
Necaxa40%fair 2.50 · @2.72
2.72Expected goals
1.33Club Queretaro xG
1.39Necaxa xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Club Queretaro 1.3 – 1.4 Necaxa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Necaxa to win✗
40%
2.50
2.72 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Necaxa / FT Necaxa✗
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.89
–
Form
Club Queretaro – last 6
DWDDLL
8 Apr
vs FC Juarez
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Toluca
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Atlas
0–0
D
16 Mar
@ Tigres UANL
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Club America
1–2
L
5 Mar
@ Monterrey
0–4
L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Necaxa – last 6
WWDLLL
4 Apr
vs Mazatlán
2–1
W
21 Mar
vs Club Tijuana
3–0
W
14 Mar
@ Puebla
0–0
D
7 Mar
vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0–1
L
4 Mar
@ Pachuca
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ Leon
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Club Queretaro and Necaxa.
What is the prediction for Club Queretaro vs Necaxa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Club Queretaro vs Necaxa?
On our numbers Club Queretaro have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Necaxa 40%.
How many goals will there be in Club Queretaro vs Necaxa?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Queretaro vs Necaxa?
Our predicted score is Club Queretaro 1–1 Necaxa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Club Queretaro vs Necaxa?
Club Queretaro vs Necaxa (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Corregidora.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán