Pachuca host Santos Laguna in the Liga MX on Sunday 12 April, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo. Pachuca are 8th with 22 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Santos Laguna sit 6th on 25 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Pachuca's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Cruz Azul 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Santos Laguna's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Club America 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Pachuca arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.3 for Pachuca and 0.8 for Santos Laguna. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Pachuca to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.39. Predicted score: Pachuca 2–0 Santos Laguna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pachuca70%fair 1.44 · @1.39
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @4.80
Santos Laguna9%fair 11.38 · @7.00
3.07Expected goals
2.30Pachuca xG
0.77Santos Laguna xG
58%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–19%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Pachuca 2.3 – 0.8 Santos Laguna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pachuca to win✓
70%
1.44
1.39
Double chance
Pachuca or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.70
Half-time result
Pachuca ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pachuca / FT Pachuca✓
48%
2.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.17
–
Form
Pachuca – last 6
WDDWWL
5 Apr
@ Cruz Azul
2–1
W
23 Mar
vs Toluca
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Atletico San Luis
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Puebla
2–1
W
4 Mar
vs Necaxa
2–1
W
28 Feb
@ Mazatlán
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Santos Laguna – last 6
DWLWLD
5 Apr
vs Club America
1–1
D
23 Mar
vs Puebla
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Guadalajara Chivas
0–3
L
9 Mar
@ Club Tijuana
2–1
W
4 Mar
vs Cruz Azul
1–2
L
28 Feb
@ Club Queretaro
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pachuca and Santos Laguna.
What is the prediction for Pachuca vs Santos Laguna?
Our pick is Pachuca to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.
Who will win Pachuca vs Santos Laguna?
On our numbers Pachuca have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Santos Laguna 9%.
How many goals will there be in Pachuca vs Santos Laguna?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pachuca vs Santos Laguna?
Our predicted score is Pachuca 2–0 Santos Laguna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Pachuca vs Santos Laguna?
Pachuca vs Santos Laguna (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán