Value bet: Club America to win @ 3.20 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGuadalajara Chivas to win ✓44% · @2.24
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 9.37
Guadalajara Chivas vs Club America preview and prediction
The match
The Liga MX sees Guadalajara Chivas take on Club America on Sunday 15 February, kicking off at 04:07 (WAT) at Estadio Akron. Guadalajara Chivas are 3rd with 30 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Club America sit 2nd on 30 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Guadalajara Chivas and 1.2 for Club America. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Guadalajara Chivas 44%, draw 22%, Club America 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Club America to win at 3.20 – 33% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Guadalajara Chivas 1–1 Club America. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guadalajara Chivas44%fair 2.25 · @2.24
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.25
Club America33%fair 2.99 · @3.20
2.58Expected goals
1.41Guadalajara Chivas xG
1.17Club America xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Guadalajara Chivas 1.4 – 1.2 Club America expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guadalajara Chivas to win✓
44%
2.25
2.24
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guadalajara Chivas / FT Guadalajara Chivas✓
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
11%
9.37
–
Form
Guadalajara Chivas
No recent results on record.
Club America
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guadalajara Chivas and Club America.
What is the prediction for Guadalajara Chivas vs Club America?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Guadalajara Chivas vs Club America?
On our numbers Guadalajara Chivas have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Club America 33%.
How many goals will there be in Guadalajara Chivas vs Club America?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guadalajara Chivas vs Club America?
Our predicted score is Guadalajara Chivas 1–1 Club America, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Guadalajara Chivas vs Club America?
Guadalajara Chivas vs Club America (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 04:07 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Akron.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
