Value bet: Pachuca to win @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPachuca to win ✓63% · @1.73
Double chancePachuca or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.47
Pachuca vs Atlas preview and prediction
The match
Atlas travel to Estadio Miguel Hidalgo in the Liga MX on Sunday 15 February (00:00 WAT) to face Pachuca. Pachuca are 8th with 22 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Atlas sit 5th on 27 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Pachuca and 0.8 for Atlas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pachuca 63%, draw 22%, Atlas 15%.
Safer route: Pachuca or draw (85%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Pachuca to win at 1.73 – 63% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Pachuca 1–0 Atlas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pachuca63%fair 1.58 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.55
Atlas15%fair 6.73 · @4.80
2.63Expected goals
1.86Pachuca xG
0.77Atlas xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Pachuca 1.9 – 0.8 Atlas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pachuca to win✓
63%
1.58
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Pachuca or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.28
Half-time result
Pachuca ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pachuca / FT Pachuca✓
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.47
–
Form
Pachuca
No recent results on record.
Atlas
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pachuca and Atlas.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Pachuca vs Atlas?
On our numbers Pachuca have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atlas 15%.
How many goals will there be in Pachuca vs Atlas?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pachuca vs Atlas?
Our predicted score is Pachuca 1–0 Atlas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Pachuca vs Atlas?
Pachuca vs Atlas (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
