Value bet: Necaxa to win @ 3.35 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Juarez to win ✗41% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.40
FC Juarez vs Necaxa preview and prediction
The match
FC Juarez host Necaxa in the Liga MX on Sunday 15 February, with kick-off at 02:06 (WAT) at Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez. FC Juarez are 18th with 11 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Necaxa sit 17th on 13 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for FC Juarez and 1.4 for Necaxa. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Juarez 41%, draw 24%, Necaxa 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Necaxa to win at 3.35 – 35% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: FC Juarez 1–1 Necaxa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Juarez41%fair 2.43 · @2.12
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.35
Necaxa35%fair 2.85 · @3.35
2.94Expected goals
1.54FC Juarez xG
1.40Necaxa xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%
From our goals model: FC Juarez 1.5 – 1.4 Necaxa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Juarez to win✗
41%
2.43
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Juarez / FT FC Juarez✗
24%
4.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.40
–
Form
FC Juarez
No recent results on record.
Necaxa
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Juarez and Necaxa.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win FC Juarez vs Necaxa?
On our numbers FC Juarez have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Necaxa 35%.
How many goals will there be in FC Juarez vs Necaxa?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Juarez vs Necaxa?
Our predicted score is FC Juarez 1–1 Necaxa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is FC Juarez vs Necaxa?
FC Juarez vs Necaxa (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 02:06 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
