Serie A · Brazil · Estadio Manoel BarradasVitoria vs Cruzeiro prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Vitoria 1.2 – 1.4 Cruzeiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Cruzeiro shade it despite being away from home – 44% to win, against 34% for Vitoria.
Vitoria have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.5 per game. Cruzeiro have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.2 for Vitoria, 1.4 for Cruzeiro). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 60%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Vitoria have won 0, Cruzeiro have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 60% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.80 is better than our fair price of 1.67, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Cruzeiro to win ✓ | 44% | 2.28 | 2.38 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.36 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Cruzeiro / FT Cruzeiro ✗ | 25% | 4.04 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.01 | – |
Form
Vitoria – last 6
| 13 Sep | @ Mirassol | 2–2 | D |
| 8 Sep | vs Gremio | 1–0 | W |
| 3 Sep | vs Vasco DA Gama | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Atletico-MG | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Aug | @ Vasco DA Gama | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Aug | vs Bahia | 0–2 | L |
Cruzeiro – last 6
| 13 Sep | @ Santos | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Atletico Paranaense | 3–1 | W |
| 2 Sep | @ Atletico-MG | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | @ Vasco DA Gama | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Aug | vs Atletico-MG | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | vs Flamengo | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
| 2 Apr 2026 | Cruzeiro v Vitoria | 3–0 |
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 34 | +42 | 76 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 34 | +39 | 73 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 34 | +7 | 60 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 34 | +13 | 57 |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 34 | +8 | 54 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 34 | +5 | 53 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 34 | +4 | 50 |
| 8 |  RB Bragantino | 34 | +5 | 47 |
| 9 |  Santos | 34 | +1 | 47 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 34 | 0 | 44 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 34 | -7 | 42 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 34 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 33 | -7 | 41 |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 34 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 |  Vitoria | 34 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 34 | -4 | 38 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 34 | -6 | 37 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 34 | -9 | 37 |
| 19 |  Remo | 34 | -20 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 33 | -35 | 21 |
More Serie A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Vitoria vs Cruzeiro?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Vitoria vs Cruzeiro?
On our numbers Vitoria have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cruzeiro 44%.
How many goals will there be in Vitoria vs Cruzeiro?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Vitoria vs Cruzeiro?
Vitoria vs Cruzeiro (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manoel Barradas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.