Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama preview and prediction
The match
Vasco DA Gama travel to face Fluminense in the Serie A on Sunday 6 September (01:00 WAT). Fluminense are 4th with 57 points from 34 games (in the top four), while Vasco DA Gama sit 13th on 41 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Fluminense's last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with Atletico Paranaense 3–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Vasco DA Gama's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Vitoria 2–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 August 2026, finished Fluminense 1–3 Vasco DA Gama. Across their last 4 meetings Fluminense have won 1, Vasco DA Gama 2, with 1 draw and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Fluminense and 1.3 for Vasco DA Gama. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fluminense 44%, draw 22%, Vasco DA Gama 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Fluminense 1–1 Vasco DA Gama. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fluminense44%fair 2.26 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
Vasco DA Gama33%fair 2.99 · @3.10
2.80Expected goals
1.52Fluminense xG
1.28Vasco DA Gama xG
54%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Fluminense 1.5 – 1.3 Vasco DA Gama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama?
On our numbers Fluminense have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Vasco DA Gama 33%.
How many goals will there be in Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama?
Our predicted score is Fluminense 1–1 Vasco DA Gama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama?
Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
