Serie A · Brazil · Neo Quimica ArenaCorinthians vs Chapecoense-sc prediction & analysis
Corinthians to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Corinthians 2.0 – 0.5 Chapecoense-sc expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Corinthians are clear favourites at home with a 71% chance of winning, against 9% for Chapecoense-sc.
Corinthians have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.8 per game. Chapecoense-sc have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.6 goals (2.0 for Corinthians, 0.5 for Chapecoense-sc). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 2–0 (16%), 1–0 (16%), 3–0 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Corinthians have won 0, Chapecoense-sc have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Corinthians to win at a 71% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.36 is close to our fair price of 1.40. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.15 is our value angle (51% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Corinthians to win ✗ | 71% | 1.40 | 1.36 |
| Double chance | Corinthians or draw ✗ | 91% | 1.10 | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.97 | 2.15 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.38 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | – |
| Half-time result | Corinthians ahead at half-time ✗ | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Corinthians / FT Corinthians ✗ | 47% | 2.13 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 16% | 6.39 | – |
Form
Corinthians – last 6
| 30 Aug | vs Santos | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Aug | @ Coritiba | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Aug | vs Rosario Central | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | vs Cruzeiro | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Aug | @ Rosario Central | 0–0 | D |
| 9 Aug | @ RB Bragantino | 2–0 | W |
Chapecoense-sc – last 6
| 30 Aug | @ Gremio | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Aug | vs Sao Paulo | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | vs Bahia | 3–3 | D |
| 9 Aug | @ Coritiba | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Aug | @ Cruzeiro | 0–2 | L |
| 2 Aug | vs Cruzeiro | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
| 20 Mar 2026 | Chapecoense-sc v Corinthians | 0–0 |
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 34 | +42 | 76 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 34 | +39 | 73 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 34 | +7 | 60 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 34 | +13 | 57 |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 34 | +8 | 54 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 34 | +5 | 53 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 34 | +4 | 50 |
| 8 |  RB Bragantino | 34 | +5 | 47 |
| 9 |  Santos | 34 | +1 | 47 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 34 | 0 | 44 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 34 | -7 | 42 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 34 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 33 | -7 | 41 |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 34 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 |  Vitoria | 34 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 34 | -4 | 38 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 34 | -6 | 37 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 34 | -9 | 37 |
| 19 |  Remo | 34 | -20 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 33 | -35 | 21 |
More Serie A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Corinthians vs Chapecoense-sc?
Our pick is Corinthians to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Corinthians vs Chapecoense-sc?
On our numbers Corinthians have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Chapecoense-sc 9%.
How many goals will there be in Corinthians vs Chapecoense-sc?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Corinthians vs Chapecoense-sc?
Corinthians vs Chapecoense-sc (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Neo Quimica Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.