Serie A · Brazil · Estadio Olimpico Nilton SantosBotafogo vs Palmeiras prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Botafogo 1.2 – 1.7 Palmeiras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Palmeiras shade it despite being away from home – 48% to win, against 30% for Botafogo.
Botafogo have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.3 per game. Palmeiras have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. Palmeiras come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.2 for Botafogo, 1.7 for Palmeiras). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Botafogo have won 0, Palmeiras have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.73 is better than our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Palmeiras to win ✗ | 48% | 2.06 | 2.15 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.73 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.50 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 40% | 2.50 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Palmeiras / FT Palmeiras ✗ | 29% | 3.50 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 10.64 | – |
Form
Botafogo – last 6
| 30 Aug | @ Flamengo | 0–3 | L |
| 25 Aug | vs Atletico Paranaense | 2–3 | L |
| 21 Aug | vs Cienciano | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | @ Vitoria | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Aug | @ Cienciano | 1–6 | L |
| 9 Aug | vs Fluminense | 1–1 | D |
Palmeiras – last 6
| 3 Sep | @ Santos | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Aug | @ Mirassol | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Aug | vs Santos | 3–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | vs Vasco DA Gama | 4–1 | W |
| 19 Aug | @ Cerro Porteno | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Fluminense | 2–3 | L |
Head to head
| 18 Mar 2026 | Palmeiras v Botafogo | 2–1 |
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 34 | +42 | 76 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 34 | +39 | 73 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 34 | +7 | 60 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 34 | +13 | 57 |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 34 | +8 | 54 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 34 | +5 | 53 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 34 | +4 | 50 |
| 8 |  RB Bragantino | 34 | +5 | 47 |
| 9 |  Santos | 34 | +1 | 47 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 34 | 0 | 44 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 34 | -7 | 42 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 34 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 33 | -7 | 41 |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 34 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 |  Vitoria | 34 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 34 | -4 | 38 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 34 | -6 | 37 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 34 | -9 | 37 |
| 19 |  Remo | 34 | -20 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 33 | -35 | 21 |
More Serie A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Botafogo vs Palmeiras?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Botafogo vs Palmeiras?
On our numbers Botafogo have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Palmeiras 48%.
How many goals will there be in Botafogo vs Palmeiras?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Botafogo vs Palmeiras?
Botafogo vs Palmeiras (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.