Internacional vs Santos prediction & analysis
Internacional or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Internacional to win @ 1.91 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Internacional 1.8 – 0.8 Santos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Internacional are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 16% for Santos.
Internacional have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (0W 4D 2L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.2 per game. Santos have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 0.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. Santos come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.8 for Internacional, 0.8 for Santos). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 53%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Internacional have won 1, Santos have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Internacional or draw at a 84% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Internacional to win at 1.91 is our value angle (63% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Internacional to win ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Internacional or draw ✗ | 84% | 1.18 | 1.25 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.88 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.92 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 74% | 1.35 | – |
| Half-time result | Internacional ahead at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.27 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Internacional / FT Internacional ✗ | 39% | 2.54 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.32 | – |
Form
Internacional – last 6
| 4 Sep | @ Gremio | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | @ Bahia | 2–3 | L |
| 28 Aug | vs Gremio | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Aug | vs Atletico-MG | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Aug | vs Remo | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Aug | @ Palmeiras | 0–0 | D |
Santos – last 6
| 3 Sep | vs Palmeiras | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Aug | @ Corinthians | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Aug | @ Palmeiras | 0–3 | L |
| 23 Aug | vs Mirassol | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Aug | @ Macara | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Aug | @ Vasco DA Gama | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
| 19 Mar 2026 | Santos v Internacional | 1–2 |
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 34 | +42 | 76 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 34 | +39 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 34 | +7 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 34 | +13 | 57 |
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 34 | +8 | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 34 | +5 | 53 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 34 | +4 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | +5 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos | 34 | +1 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 34 | 0 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 34 | -7 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 34 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 33 | -7 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 34 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 34 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 | Internacional | 34 | -4 | 38 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 34 | -6 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio | 34 | -9 | 37 |
| 19 | Remo | 34 | -20 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 33 | -35 | 21 |
More Serie A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Internacional vs Santos?
Our pick is Internacional or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Internacional vs Santos?
On our numbers Internacional have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Santos 16%.
How many goals will there be in Internacional vs Santos?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Internacional vs Santos?
Internacional vs Santos (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.



















