Botafogo host Corinthians in the Serie A on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estádio Nilton Santos. Botafogo are 11th with 42 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Corinthians sit 17th on 37 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Botafogo's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Chapecoense-sc 0–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Corinthians's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Barra 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Botafogo and 1.2 for Corinthians. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 52%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Botafogo 1–1 Corinthians. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Botafogo42%fair 2.40 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.20
Corinthians34%fair 2.94 · @3.10
2.59Expected goals
1.38Botafogo xG
1.21Corinthians xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Botafogo 1.4 – 1.2 Corinthians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Botafogo to win✓
42%
2.40
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Botafogo / FT Botafogo✓
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.69
–
Form
Botafogo – last 6
LWWWWD
14 May
@ Chapecoense-sc
0–2
L
7 May
vs Racing Club
2–1
W
28 Apr
vs Independiente Petrolero
3–0
W
21 Apr
vs Chapecoense-sc
1–0
W
15 Apr
@ Racing Club
3–2
W
9 Apr
vs Caracas FC
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Corinthians – last 6
WDLWWD
14 May
vs Barra
1–0
W
7 May
@ Santa Fe
1–1
D
4 May
@ Mirassol
1–2
L
1 May
vs Penarol
2–0
W
22 Apr
@ Barra
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Vitoria
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Botafogo and Corinthians.
What is the prediction for Botafogo vs Corinthians?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Botafogo vs Corinthians?
On our numbers Botafogo have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Corinthians 34%.
How many goals will there be in Botafogo vs Corinthians?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botafogo vs Corinthians?
Our predicted score is Botafogo 1–1 Corinthians, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Botafogo vs Corinthians?
Botafogo vs Corinthians (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Nilton Santos.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
