Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.04
Cruzeiro vs Vitoria preview and prediction
The match
Cruzeiro host Vitoria in the Serie A on Thursday 2 April, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Governador Magalhães Pinto. Cruzeiro are 3rd with 60 points from 34 games (in the top four), while Vitoria sit 15th on 38 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Cruzeiro's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Atletico Paranaense 1–2 away. They average 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Vitoria's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Botafogo PB 1–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 2.0 for Cruzeiro and 0.6 for Vitoria. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cruzeiro 69%, draw 20%, Vitoria 11%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cruzeiro to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.56, above our fair price of 1.44, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cruzeiro 1–0 Vitoria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cruzeiro69%fair 1.44 · @1.56
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @3.65
Vitoria11%fair 8.99 · @6.40
2.64Expected goals
1.99Cruzeiro xG
0.65Vitoria xG
49%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–014%
3–09%
1–19%
2–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Cruzeiro 2.0 – 0.6 Vitoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cruzeiro to win✓
69%
1.44
1.56 ▲
Double chance
Cruzeiro or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Half-time result
Cruzeiro ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cruzeiro / FT Cruzeiro✓
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.04
–
Form
Cruzeiro – last 5
LDLDW
18 Mar
@ Atletico Paranaense
1–2
L
16 Mar
vs Vasco DA Gama
3–3
D
12 Mar
@ Flamengo
0–2
L
26 Feb
vs Corinthians
1–1
D
14 Feb
@ Uniao Trabalhadores
2–1
W
1.4Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Vitoria – last 5
LLDWW
25 Mar
vs Botafogo PB
1–2
L
19 Mar
@ Gremio
0–2
L
12 Mar
@ Bahia
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Galícia
3–0
W
18 Feb
vs Bahia de Feira
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cruzeiro and Vitoria.
Our pick is Cruzeiro to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.56.
Who will win Cruzeiro vs Vitoria?
On our numbers Cruzeiro have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Vitoria 11%.
How many goals will there be in Cruzeiro vs Vitoria?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruzeiro vs Vitoria?
Our predicted score is Cruzeiro 1–0 Vitoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Cruzeiro vs Vitoria?
Cruzeiro vs Vitoria (Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Governador Magalhães Pinto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
