Fluminense vs Atletico Paranaense prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Fluminense to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFluminense to win ✓64% · @1.73
Double chanceFluminense or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.05
Fluminense vs Atletico Paranaense preview and prediction
The match
Fluminense host Atletico Paranaense in the Serie A on Sunday 15 March, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estádio do Maracanã. Fluminense are 4th with 57 points from 34 games (in the top four), while Atletico Paranaense sit 5th on 54 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Fluminense's last 4: WLWW Most recently they beat remo 2–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atletico Paranaense's last 3: DLL Most recently they drew with RB Bragantino 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Fluminense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Fluminense and 0.5 for Atletico Paranaense. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Fluminense to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Fluminense 1–0 Atletico Paranaense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fluminense64%fair 1.57 · @1.73
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @3.50
Atletico Paranaense17%fair 5.86 · @4.50
2.00Expected goals
1.46Fluminense xG
0.54Atletico Paranaense xG
46%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–014%
0–014%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Fluminense 1.5 – 0.5 Atletico Paranaense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fluminense to win✓
64%
1.57
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Fluminense or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fluminense / FT Fluminense✓
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
5.05
–
Form
Fluminense – last 4
WLWW
12 Mar
@ remo
2–0
W
26 Feb
@ Palmeiras
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Vasco DA Gama
1–0
W
16 Feb
vs Bangu
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Atletico Paranaense – last 3
DLL
25 Feb
@ RB Bragantino
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Londrina
0–1
L
19 Feb
vs Corinthians
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fluminense and Atletico Paranaense.
What is the prediction for Fluminense vs Atletico Paranaense?
Our pick is Fluminense to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Fluminense vs Atletico Paranaense?
On our numbers Fluminense have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Atletico Paranaense 17%.
How many goals will there be in Fluminense vs Atletico Paranaense?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fluminense vs Atletico Paranaense?
Our predicted score is Fluminense 1–0 Atletico Paranaense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Fluminense vs Atletico Paranaense?
Fluminense vs Atletico Paranaense (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
