The Serie A sees Botafogo take on Flamengo on Sunday 15 March, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Estádio Nilton Santos. Botafogo are 11th with 42 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Flamengo sit 1st on 76 points (top of the table). A gap of 34 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Botafogo's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Barcelona SC 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Flamengo's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Cruzeiro 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Flamengo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Botafogo 1–2 Flamengo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.2 for Botafogo and 1.8 for Flamengo. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Botafogo 1–1 Flamengo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Botafogo26%fair 3.89 · @3.70
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.35
Flamengo53%fair 1.90 · @1.99
2.92Expected goals
1.15Botafogo xG
1.77Flamengo xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–210%
0–110%
0–28%
2–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Botafogo 1.2 – 1.8 Flamengo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Botafogo vs Flamengo?
On our numbers Botafogo have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Flamengo 53%.
How many goals will there be in Botafogo vs Flamengo?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botafogo vs Flamengo?
Our predicted score is Botafogo 1–1 Flamengo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Botafogo vs Flamengo?
Botafogo vs Flamengo (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Nilton Santos.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
