Value bet: Tigre to win @ 4.40 – our chance 30% vs 23% implied by the price (edge +31%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultRosario Central to win46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–014% · fair 6.96
Rosario Central vs Tigre preview and prediction
The match
Rosario Central host Tigre in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday 3 May, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Gigante de Arroyito. Rosario Central are 2nd with 62 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Tigre sit 20th on 39 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Rosario Central's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat UCV 3–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tigre's last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat America de Cali 2–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Rosario Central arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Rosario Central and 0.9 for Tigre. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rosario Central 46%, draw 24%, Tigre 30%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Tigre to win at 4.40 – 30% on our numbers against 23% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Rosario Central 1–0 Tigre. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rosario Central46%fair 2.16 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @2.92
Tigre30%fair 3.36 · @4.40
2.16Expected goals
1.24Rosario Central xG
0.92Tigre xG
52%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Rosario Central 1.2 – 0.9 Tigre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rosario Central to win
46%
2.16
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.31
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.93
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
63%
1.60
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
64%
1.57
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
82%
1.22
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rosario Central / FT Rosario Central
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
14%
6.96
–
Form
Rosario Central – last 6
WWWWDW
29 Apr
@ UCV
3–0
W
24 Apr
@ Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2–1
W
20 Apr
vs Sarmiento Junin
2–1
W
15 Apr
@ Libertad Asuncion
1–0
W
9 Apr
vs Independiente del Valle
0–0
D
5 Apr
vs Atletico Tucuman
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tigre – last 6
WLDLDL
1 May
vs America de Cali
2–0
W
25 Apr
@ Sarmiento Junin
0–1
L
21 Apr
vs Huracan
1–1
D
16 Apr
vs Macara
0–1
L
8 Apr
@ Alianza Atletico
1–1
D
2 Apr
vs Independ. Rivadavia
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rosario Central and Tigre.
What is the prediction for Rosario Central vs Tigre?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Rosario Central vs Tigre?
On our numbers Rosario Central have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tigre 30%.
How many goals will there be in Rosario Central vs Tigre?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rosario Central vs Tigre?
Our predicted score is Rosario Central 1–0 Tigre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Rosario Central vs Tigre?
Rosario Central vs Tigre (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gigante de Arroyito.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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