Aldosivi vs Independ. Rivadavia prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.45
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: Independ. Rivadavia to win @ 2.32 – our chance 51% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultIndepend. Rivadavia to win51% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–116% · fair 6.35
Aldosivi vs Independ. Rivadavia preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Profesional Argentina sees Aldosivi take on Independ. Rivadavia on Sunday 3 May, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT). Aldosivi are 29th with 19 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while Independ. Rivadavia sit 4th on 57 points (in the top four). A gap of 38 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Aldosivi's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to River Plate 1–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Independ. Rivadavia's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Deportivo La Guaira 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Independ. Rivadavia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.8 for Aldosivi and 1.3 for Independ. Rivadavia. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Independ. Rivadavia to win at 2.32 – 51% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Aldosivi 0–1 Independ. Rivadavia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aldosivi25%fair 4.02 · @3.35
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @2.95
Independ. Rivadavia51%fair 1.95 · @2.32
2.13Expected goals
0.80Aldosivi xG
1.33Independ. Rivadavia xG
52%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
1–113%
0–012%
0–210%
1–010%
1–28%
From our goals model: Aldosivi 0.8 – 1.3 Independ. Rivadavia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independ. Rivadavia to win
51%
1.95
2.32 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.94
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
62%
1.62
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
65%
1.55
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
83%
1.20
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independ. Rivadavia / FT Independ. Rivadavia
29%
3.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
16%
6.35
–
Form
Aldosivi – last 6
LLLDDL
26 Apr
@ River Plate
1–3
L
11 Apr
@ Belgrano Cordoba
0–1
L
31 Mar
vs Argentinos JRS
0–2
L
16 Mar
vs Huracan
0–0
D
12 Mar
@ Atletico Tucuman
1–1
D
3 Mar
@ Banfield
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Independ. Rivadavia – last 6
WDWWWW
30 Apr
vs Deportivo La Guaira
4–1
W
20 Apr
@ Banfield
0–0
D
16 Apr
@ Fluminense
2–1
W
7 Apr
vs Bolívar
1–0
W
2 Apr
@ Tigre
2–0
W
23 Mar
vs Rosario Central
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aldosivi and Independ. Rivadavia.
What is the prediction for Aldosivi vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Aldosivi vs Independ. Rivadavia?
On our numbers Aldosivi have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Independ. Rivadavia 51%.
How many goals will there be in Aldosivi vs Independ. Rivadavia?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aldosivi vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Our predicted score is Aldosivi 0–1 Independ. Rivadavia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Aldosivi vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Aldosivi vs Independ. Rivadavia (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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