River Plate vs Atletico Tucuman prediction & analysis
77%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRiver Plate to win68% · @1.46
Double chanceRiver Plate or draw87% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–017% · fair 5.89
River Plate vs Atletico Tucuman preview and prediction
The match
Atletico Tucuman travel to Estadio Monumental in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday 3 May (22:30 WAT) to face River Plate. River Plate are 7th with 55 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Atletico Tucuman sit 26th on 32 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
River Plate's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat RB Bragantino 1–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atletico Tucuman's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Banfield 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
River Plate arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.8 for River Plate and 0.6 for Atletico Tucuman. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: River Plate 68%, draw 18%, Atletico Tucuman 13%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: River Plate 1–0 Atletico Tucuman. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
River Plate68%fair 1.46 · @1.46
Draw18%fair 5.43 · @3.90
Atletico Tucuman13%fair 7.58 · @7.90
2.35Expected goals
1.78River Plate xG
0.57Atletico Tucuman xG
48%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–010%
3–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: River Plate 1.8 – 0.6 Atletico Tucuman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
River Plate to win
68%
1.46
1.46
Double chance
River Plate or draw
87%
1.15
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
52%
1.93
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
77%
1.29
1.25
Half-time result
River Plate ahead at half-time
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT River Plate / FT River Plate
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
17%
5.89
–
Form
River Plate – last 6
WWWWDW
1 May
@ RB Bragantino
1–0
W
26 Apr
vs Aldosivi
3–1
W
16 Apr
vs Carabobo FC
1–0
W
13 Apr
@ Racing Club
2–0
W
9 Apr
@ Blooming
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Sarmiento Junin
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Atletico Tucuman – last 6
DLLWWL
27 Apr
vs Banfield
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Argentinos JRS
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Rosario Central
1–2
L
25 Mar
vs Sportivo Barracas
2–1
W
21 Mar
vs Gimnasia L.P.
1–0
W
16 Mar
@ Barracas Central
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between River Plate and Atletico Tucuman.
What is the prediction for River Plate vs Atletico Tucuman?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win River Plate vs Atletico Tucuman?
On our numbers River Plate have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Atletico Tucuman 13%.
How many goals will there be in River Plate vs Atletico Tucuman?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for River Plate vs Atletico Tucuman?
Our predicted score is River Plate 1–0 Atletico Tucuman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is River Plate vs Atletico Tucuman?
River Plate vs Atletico Tucuman (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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