Value bet: Estudiantes L.P. to win @ 2.58 – our chance 45% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEstudiantes L.P. to win ✓45% · @2.58
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.38
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.69
Platense vs Estudiantes L.P. preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Profesional Argentina sees Platense take on Estudiantes L.P. on Sunday 3 May, kicking off at 01:15 (WAT) at Estadio Ciudad de Vicente Lopez. Platense are 24th with 36 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Estudiantes L.P. sit 11th on 47 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Platense's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Santa Fe 2–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Estudiantes L.P.'s last 5: DWDLW Most recently they drew with Flamengo 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Estudiantes L.P. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.7 for Platense and 1.0 for Estudiantes L.P.. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely.
Value angle: Estudiantes L.P. to win at 2.58 – 45% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Platense 0–1 Estudiantes L.P.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Platense29%fair 3.42 · @3.15
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @2.72
Estudiantes L.P.45%fair 2.21 · @2.58
1.77Expected goals
0.74Platense xG
1.03Estudiantes L.P. xG
47%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–017%
1–113%
1–013%
0–29%
1–27%
From our goals model: Platense 0.7 – 1.0 Estudiantes L.P. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estudiantes L.P. to win✓
45%
2.21
2.58 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.38
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.67
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.11
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.69
–
Form
Platense – last 6
WLLWLD
29 Apr
vs Santa Fe
2–1
W
25 Apr
vs San Lorenzo
0–1
L
20 Apr
@ Central Cordoba de Santiago
3–4
L
17 Apr
@ Penarol
2–1
W
10 Apr
vs Corinthians
0–2
L
2 Apr
@ Lanus
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Estudiantes L.P. – last 6
DWDLWW
30 Apr
vs Flamengo
1–1
D
14 Apr
vs Cusco
2–1
W
9 Apr
@ Independiente Medellin
1–1
D
3 Apr
@ San Lorenzo
0–1
L
23 Mar
vs Central Cordoba de Santiago
5–0
W
18 Mar
@ Gimnasia M.
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Platense and Estudiantes L.P..
What is the prediction for Platense vs Estudiantes L.P.?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Platense vs Estudiantes L.P.?
On our numbers Platense have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Estudiantes L.P. 45%.
How many goals will there be in Platense vs Estudiantes L.P.?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Platense vs Estudiantes L.P.?
Our predicted score is Platense 0–1 Estudiantes L.P., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Platense vs Estudiantes L.P.?
Platense vs Estudiantes L.P. (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 01:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ciudad de Vicente Lopez.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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