Gimnasia L.P. vs Argentinos JRS prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.48
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
1
Value bet: Gimnasia L.P. to win @ 3.40 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultArgentinos JRS to win43% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–113% · fair 7.50
Gimnasia L.P. vs Argentinos JRS preview and prediction
The match
Gimnasia L.P. host Argentinos JRS in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday 3 May, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo. Gimnasia L.P. are 5th with 57 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Argentinos JRS sit 3rd on 60 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Gimnasia L.P.'s last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Acassuso 3–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Argentinos JRS's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Huracan 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Argentinos JRS arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Gimnasia L.P. and 1.2 for Argentinos JRS. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gimnasia L.P. 33%, draw 23%, Argentinos JRS 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Gimnasia L.P. to win at 3.40 – 33% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Gimnasia L.P. 1–1 Argentinos JRS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gimnasia L.P.33%fair 3.00 · @3.40
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.05
Argentinos JRS43%fair 2.31 · @2.22
2.19Expected goals
1.00Gimnasia L.P. xG
1.19Argentinos JRS xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Gimnasia L.P. 1.0 – 1.2 Argentinos JRS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Argentinos JRS to win
43%
2.31
2.22
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.96
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
64%
1.56
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
62%
1.62
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
81%
1.23
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Argentinos JRS / FT Argentinos JRS
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
13%
7.50
–
Form
Gimnasia L.P. – last 6
WWWLLL
22 Apr
@ Acassuso
3–0
W
13 Apr
@ Sarmiento Junin
2–1
W
10 Apr
vs Deportivo Camioneros
4–1
W
5 Apr
vs Huracan
0–3
L
21 Mar
@ Atletico Tucuman
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Independ. Rivadavia
2–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Argentinos JRS – last 6
WWWWWD
28 Apr
@ Huracan
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Atletico Tucuman
1–0
W
6 Apr
vs Banfield
3–2
W
31 Mar
@ Aldosivi
2–0
W
27 Mar
vs Lanus
2–1
W
16 Mar
@ Tigre
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnasia L.P. and Argentinos JRS.
What is the prediction for Gimnasia L.P. vs Argentinos JRS?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Gimnasia L.P. vs Argentinos JRS?
On our numbers Gimnasia L.P. have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Argentinos JRS 43%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia L.P. vs Argentinos JRS?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia L.P. vs Argentinos JRS?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia L.P. 1–1 Argentinos JRS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia L.P. vs Argentinos JRS?
Gimnasia L.P. vs Argentinos JRS (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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