Sporting Kansas City vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
San Jose Earthquakes or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Jose Earthquakes to win ✓61% · @1.73
Double chanceSan Jose Earthquakes or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.04
Sporting Kansas City vs San Jose Earthquakes preview and prediction
The match
Sporting Kansas City host San Jose Earthquakes in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 12 April, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT). Sporting Kansas City are 15th with 26 points from 34 games (in the bottom three), while San Jose Earthquakes sit 4th on 52 points (in the top four). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sporting Kansas City's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Colorado Rapids 1–4 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
San Jose Earthquakes's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat San Diego 3–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
San Jose Earthquakes arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished San Jose Earthquakes 3–0 Sporting Kansas City.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.0 for Sporting Kansas City and 2.0 for San Jose Earthquakes. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sporting Kansas City 18%, draw 21%, San Jose Earthquakes 61%.
Safer route: San Jose Earthquakes or draw (82%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was San Jose Earthquakes or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Sporting Kansas City 1–2 San Jose Earthquakes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting Kansas City18%fair 5.51 · @4.00
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @4.10
San Jose Earthquakes61%fair 1.64 · @1.73
3.03Expected goals
1.01Sporting Kansas City xG
2.02San Jose Earthquakes xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–210%
1–110%
0–110%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Sporting Kansas City 1.0 – 2.0 San Jose Earthquakes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Jose Earthquakes to win✓
61%
1.64
1.73 ▲
Double chance
San Jose Earthquakes or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.80 ▲
Half-time result
San Jose Earthquakes ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Jose Earthquakes / FT San Jose Earthquakes✗
What is the prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Our pick is San Jose Earthquakes or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs San Jose Earthquakes?
On our numbers Sporting Kansas City have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 21% and San Jose Earthquakes 61%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Kansas City vs San Jose Earthquakes?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Kansas City vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Our predicted score is Sporting Kansas City 1–2 San Jose Earthquakes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Sporting Kansas City vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Sporting Kansas City vs San Jose Earthquakes (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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