Value bet: Nashville SC to win @ 3.15 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCharlotte to win ✗42% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.33
Charlotte vs Nashville SC preview and prediction
The match
Nashville SC travel to Bank of America Stadium in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 12 April (00:30 WAT) to face Charlotte. Charlotte are 5th with 54 points from 34 games (in the top half), while Nashville SC sit 1st on 77 points (top of the table). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Charlotte's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Philadelphia Union 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Nashville SC's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Club America 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Charlotte arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Charlotte and 1.3 for Nashville SC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Charlotte 42%, draw 24%, Nashville SC 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Nashville SC to win at 3.15 – 34% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Charlotte 1–1 Nashville SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Charlotte42%fair 2.40 · @2.22
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.30
Nashville SC34%fair 2.90 · @3.15
2.83Expected goals
1.49Charlotte xG
1.33Nashville SC xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Charlotte 1.5 – 1.3 Nashville SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charlotte to win✗
42%
2.40
2.22
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charlotte / FT Charlotte✗
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.33
–
Form
Charlotte – last 5
WWDWL
5 Apr
vs Philadelphia Union
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs New York Red Bulls
6–1
W
15 Mar
vs Inter Miami
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Austin
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Los Angeles Galaxy
0–3
L
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Nashville SC – last 6
DLWDWD
8 Apr
vs Club America
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Chicago Fire
0–1
L
21 Mar
vs Orlando City SC
5–0
W
19 Mar
@ Inter Miami
1–1
D
14 Mar
@ Columbus Crew
1–0
W
12 Mar
vs Inter Miami
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Charlotte and Nashville SC.
What is the prediction for Charlotte vs Nashville SC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Charlotte vs Nashville SC?
On our numbers Charlotte have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Nashville SC 34%.
How many goals will there be in Charlotte vs Nashville SC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Charlotte vs Nashville SC?
Our predicted score is Charlotte 1–1 Nashville SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Charlotte vs Nashville SC?
Charlotte vs Nashville SC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Bank of America Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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